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Sunday is recipe for inexperienced boaters dying out there.
Quoting my earlier post "Sunday looks like a trap to me. You head out in water worse than the 2015 crossing forecast. If you can go 20 to 25 you will probably be ok. But if you take longer you end up in water that is more than twice the size that you started in. "
If it was me I would have no issues crossing on Sunday based on this forecast I should be there by 9 or 10 am but once again that is just me by no means should anyone take that as a sign to depart. Tuesday is also a day if the forecast held I would go but everyone has to make their own safe choice as what is good for me probably is not good for you lol. I have many years of offshore experience and I will be honest that Monday if the forecast holds is a day I would not leave in our boats. Biggest issue I still see is return I have yet to see a forecast for return I would cross back in so if I did leave one of those days it would be under the full intent knowing I may have to fly back and come get my boat on a time when weather permitted. Please only take this as an opinion not a guarantee of safe passage by any means. For anyone in a boat smaller than 23 ft or intending to carry more people than can fit behind the windshield I probably would not cross any of the conditions that are predicted this week I was in that case I would start looking at other plans now.
Im in the middle of my relocation from VA to florida but my boat is already in St agustine,Fl, My family and I ready for plan B as well,
I have friends to have been in clearwater and the keys! so we are interested in plan B too!
There has been a lot of change in the forecast today. It is likely that we will continue to see change as we get closer to Monday. Currently Sunday and Tuesday's forecasts have improved but Monday continues to be brutal.
The other key factor that we will learn as the week progresses is the forecast for the return.
Looking at SailFlow, Passage Weather and Buoy Weather Sunday afternoon's conditions have improved while Monday has reduced to 4' waves but at much tighter spacing and Tuesday they lose a few inches but maintain the tight spacing. You could cross on Sunday. I would worry about having a place to stay, what the conditions would be while you are there and when there will be w break in the weather to come home.
Adding to that, the forecast is quite fluid at this point. I might make plans to be in Fort Lauderdale and ready to cross on Sunday but I think I would hold off on extending reservations in Bimini. The calm water could easily move to Saturday or Monday. I am still hoping for Monday!
How many could make a Sunday crossing? If the forecast holds it would be an easy crossing. Getting back and how enjoyable the time there would be are the questions.
I called the Hilton at Resort's World and they have more than 20 rooms available for the 19th.
The forecast is quite fluid at this time so I do not want anyone to think this is a solid plan but it is a possibility.
How many could make a Sunday crossing? If the forecast holds it would be an easy crossing. Getting back and how enjoyable the time there would be are the questions.
I called the Hilton at Resort's World and they have more than 20 rooms available for the 19th.
The forecast is quite fluid at this time so I do not want anyone to think this is a solid plan but it is a possibility.
How many could make a Sunday crossing? If the forecast holds it would be an easy crossing. Getting back and how enjoyable the time there would be are the questions.
I called the Hilton at Resort's World and they have more than 20 rooms available for the 19th.
The forecast is quite fluid at this time so I do not want anyone to think this is a solid plan but it is a possibility.
